Investing in Philippines: Singapore

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Showing posts with label Singapore. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Singapore. Show all posts

Thursday, October 13, 2011

My personal analysis: Cebu Air Inc. (CEB)

source: www.jgsummit.com.ph




Cebu Air Inc. which is commercially known as Cebu Pacific is JG Summit's air transportation  business. 


The company has been around since August 1988 but only listed in the Philippine Stock Exchange via IPO last October 26, 2010. Cebu Pacific has been the leading "Low Cost Carrier" in the Philippines. They started with local flights to famous Philippine destinations and now has flights in the nearby ASEAN countries, China, South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan.


From its IPO level of 125 pesos, CEB has been at the 70 level making this its support level. Though a lot were skeptical about the aviation industry due to rising fuel cost CEB has posted earnings for the past years and still  shows earnings this year to date. News of further expansion with the the additional 4 A320 planes and increase flights to some ASEAN countries come January 2012 has made analysts and investors hopeful in the carriers future. Indications is that its current price level is the best price to get in. 



source: http://investing.businessweek.com


Fundamentally CEB is in good shape. 


Current ratio is at 1.06 signifying CEB's capability to pay currently maturing payables is a good sign for a big company specially in the transportation industry.  A Debt to Equity of 101.51 may be scary but of this Long Term to Debt to Equity is at 89.76 quite manageable level. 


As mentioned earlier even with the rising cost of fuel  last year and first months of 2011 CEB still managed to be a profitable company. With operating cost almost at 50% of revenues curbing expenses is a great task that CEB is able to handle.


source: www.angdabawenyo.com




Competition has become tight with ZestAir(formerly Asian Spirit) and AirPhilExpress(Air Philippines of PAL) penetrating the market. Another issue with CEB is the so many complaints in regards to their service and hidden charges. This is one of the possible downer of CEB's passenger volume. 


A lot of investors who jump in during CEB's IPO at 125 level are either waiting or have given up. Most analyst though believe that CEB might be back at the 92-98 level thus some indicate a buy rating. The 70 level might be the lowest that CEB can get and as for the past 2-3 days with PSEi going up and regaining its 4500 level its not surprising that some are starting to accumulate.


So what are the possible reasons why I see CEB a good buy in the coming months? Lets recap:


- Expansion with 4 new planes and additional local and
  international flights
- Declining fuel price
- PAL problem
- Better business outlook in 2012


and do you remember this?
(this is the rehearsal and actual performance in the aircraft)






But again this is just my opinion; how about you what do you think of Cebu Pacific? Share your thoughts, leave some comments.   



source: http://iceylilo.blogspot.com/








Friday, August 12, 2011

Online Brokers: First Metro Securities' Platform update

source: www.firstmetrosec.com.ph




Let me first apologize. I mentioned months ago that I would be posting about some features of the two online brokers that I use but unfortunately I was only able to make the introduction and CitisecOnline's Stock Quote section. I got busy with work and markets has been so volatile thus the need to focus on analysis for better trades. Nonetheless First Metro Securities' note on their website caught my attention. So here is the first part of this First Metro Securities Platform update.

In case you haven't read my post about the online brokers I use and CitisecOnline's Stock Quote click the links below:



Here is the screen shoots of First Metro Sec's update on their Quotes tab



In the Main Quote Sub-tab you have the options to chose to see Multiple Quote to see quotes for various stocks you are interested in and with just one click on BUY or SELL you will be directed to the New Order Section in the TRADING TAB




The BID AND ASK section gives information about the volume and price for bid and ask. You have the option to view stocks by index category.



HIGH-LOW-LAST section is nearly the same as BID  AND ASK showing information about the open, high, low, close information of the stock.


In the STOCK INFO section it gives a particular information about a stock. See screen shots below. 











Note: Other features will be in the Part 2 of this post.

In general the update of the QUOTES section of First Metro Sec is an enhanced version and also other features from the ANALYTICS section is included. 


Photobucket

Chitika