Was reading my usual readings in the morning when I caught this article in bworldonline.com.
Philippines could become a ‘breakout nation’
BY JUDY T. GULANE, Sub-Editor
IN A NEW economic era of crises and risk-averse investors, not all emerging markets will succeed in sustaining the high economic growth notched in the past decade, a Morgan Stanley executive said.
SHARMA
Only a few will turn out to be "breakout nations," distinguished
by their ability to beat widely held growth expectations for their
income class, said Ruchir Sharma, head of emerging markets and global
macro at Morgan Stanley and author of Breakout Nations: In Pursuit of the Next Economic Miracles published recently.
The Philippines is "among the countries expected to do better than expectations," said Mr. Sharma, speaking by phone from Singapore yesterday, as long as the country focuses on reforms.
To qualify as a "breakout nation," the Philippines has to rise above its 5% growth potential and achieve a higher economic growth average in the next three to five years -- and over a decade.
Mr. Sharma explained that emerging market economies cannot be expected to post the high growth rates seen in a decade ago because the "easy money" that came in the wake of central bank rate cuts, and which drove growth higher, had dried up.
The prior decade was also marked by these emerging markets’ playing catch-up with the bigger economies after they were racked by crises in the 1980s to 1990s.
"The last decade is not likely to be replicated," Mr. Sharma said. "Not everyone will be able to grow rapidly and the challenge is to identify which countries can do better than the rest."
While interest rates in the United States and Europe are at historical lows at present, money is not going rapidly to emerging market economies because of risk aversion.
The Philippines is "among the countries expected to do better than expectations," said Mr. Sharma, speaking by phone from Singapore yesterday, as long as the country focuses on reforms.
To qualify as a "breakout nation," the Philippines has to rise above its 5% growth potential and achieve a higher economic growth average in the next three to five years -- and over a decade.
Mr. Sharma explained that emerging market economies cannot be expected to post the high growth rates seen in a decade ago because the "easy money" that came in the wake of central bank rate cuts, and which drove growth higher, had dried up.
The prior decade was also marked by these emerging markets’ playing catch-up with the bigger economies after they were racked by crises in the 1980s to 1990s.
"The last decade is not likely to be replicated," Mr. Sharma said. "Not everyone will be able to grow rapidly and the challenge is to identify which countries can do better than the rest."
While interest rates in the United States and Europe are at historical lows at present, money is not going rapidly to emerging market economies because of risk aversion.
click here to read full article at bworldonline.com
As I said our country need Pinoy investors specially in this time because outside investments might not be coming due to the European crisis.
What can a small amount set aside for your stock investment do? It may be small but if all Filipinos invest in our own country I guess we can achieve what Mr. Sharma hopes for the Philippines.
3 comments:
Middle class is growing fast in Philippines, the internal consumption and internal savings will keep Philippines growing.
Philippines ha a good level of education a great demography and a lot of natural resources.
Only the corruption is a problem.
Thanks Delamar for your wise two cents. Yes it is one of the things the article talked about. I hope corruption be truly be eradicated and also I hope it starts in the people in government itself.
Philippines needs Filipino investors because our own fellowmen should be the first one to benefit from the blooming economy.
The government needs to pump prime the economy.
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