Investing in Philippines: intrinsic value

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Showing posts with label intrinsic value. Show all posts
Showing posts with label intrinsic value. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 5, 2011

Investing word of the day: Value Investing

source: http://www.schloss-value-investing.com


I have been writing about this term just like in my post Stock Trading vs. Stock Investing and it is related to my post Investing word of the day: Market Price

Lets get a formal definition of these term from Investopedia.com


The strategy of selecting stocks that trade for less than their intrinsic values. 

Also I have been discussing intrinsic value in conjunction with value investing. Intrinsic value is the actual value of the stock after considering current results and future earnings and valuable events that will benefit the company and will make the company profitable in the near future.  

Now do you see why the likes of Warren Buffett take advantage when stocks of great companies like his very own Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK/A) which currently trades at $110,300 per share buy when the market price of such stock goes below its intrinsic value?

source: www.bloomberg.com


In times like this Value investing is one of the best strategy one can employ. Yes the stocks are low so low that your regular monthly savings of 5,000 pesos can now buy 2 or more lots of stocks as compared before. It is a way of positioning one's self before the rise of such great stocks. Though it may take some time before these great stocks shine, their intrinsic values cant be ignored. 

Once these stocks pick up and rises traders will be running after it hoping to ride it but as for those who have purchased it when it was still so low we are seeing a 2, 3, 4, or even a 5 bagger profit on such stocks.

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Sunday, October 10, 2010

Stock trading vs. Stock investing



This issue has been lingering for sometime. Let me cast my thoughts on it and hoping it would clear some gray areas regarding the two. But first let's define them to established basis.


Stock trading/Momentum investing(from http://www.investorwords.com)
Buying and selling securities or commodities on a short-term basis, hoping to make quick profits.


Stock investing/Value investing(from http://www.investopedia.com)
The strategy of selecting stocks that trade for less than their intrinsic values. Value investors actively seek stocks of companies that they believe the market has undervalued. They believe the market overreacts to good and bad news, resulting in stock price movements that do not correspond with the company's long-term fundamentals. The result is an opportunity for value investors to profit by buying when the price is deflated.

The main difference of the two primarily lies on the strategy in achieving profitability. Trading is the act of buying and selling for quick profit while investing is more of positioning or buying at low prices and waiting for the stock to appreciate to profit.

In stock trading one watches particularly the stock's price changes against participants reaction to current trend. Price trends may be influence by current news within the company or in the Global or regional market in general. 

News like the entry of MVP(Manny V. Pangilinan) of TEL to PX(Philex Mining) and LC(Lepanto Consolidated Mining) raised their stock prices coupled by the bullish PSE market. I remember profiting 35% at my LC within two days of trading. A sudden change or better than expected performance of a company may also influence  its stock price. When the price of a stock is gaining momentum most investors suddenly buy that stock creating more price uptrend thus a surge of stock price in short period which may led the stock to be overbought and will suddenly drop when sellers are more than buyers...

Stock investing on the other hand primarily is about making the cost of the stock lower thus the concept of cost averaging come into the picture. Besides cost averaging investors look for companies with intrinsic value. Companies with long term potential but are currently undervalued are said to be one of the stocks with intrinsic value. The concept of intrinsic value was started by Warren Buffet. With this concept one must be patient enough to realize the expected value which mostly comes after 1 - 3 years or more.

Companies become better over time and as the company grows its value also grows. Fundamentally sound companies are one of the companies that one may consider as companies of value. These
companies may be one of the blue chips or maybe a small company that recently started but was able to withstand various financial crisis.

What now then is the best strategy when one enters the stock market?

The answer to this question depends on one's risk appetite.

Traders are seen as risk takers. Some may term them short term thus the terminology "going short" and other call them tsupitero or tsupitera. A common trait of a trader is establishing a comfort zone when trading and they ride the sudden uptrends and buying speculative stocks. Most establish a loss percentage of 5% meaning they sell their stocks if such is on or near the acceptable 5% loss level in order to invest their funds to a far better profit generating stocks. There is nothing bad with this idea since one enters the stock market to profit...only that this strategy is risky.

Investors or Value investors on the other hand has the patience to wait for that big price uptrend. They buy fundamentally sound stocks when they are or near floor prices. These people are happy when stock prices are falling(you might think their crazy) and they would always look for bargain. As time passes they accumulate and
make sure that the cost per share goes down as they buy more of the stock and when the stock price rises to up to 25 -50% that is the time they will release. It usually takes 6 months to 2 years or more thus patience is a key ingredient in value investing. At the same time one must be diligent enough to do research and analysis of the company before buying. 

The best way is to be both. One should establish a strategy to purchase some stocks for short term/profit taking  and establish some stocks to be for long term. To be able to fund one's long term goals one must have a continues source of funds which could come from short term trades.

Again rules to follow are the following:
1. Don't be greedy, moderate your greed when price of the stock is 
    near or on its TP(target price) sell and take profits
2. Research and investigate, when in doubt don't buy, trade at your 
    own risk
3. Cost-average
4. Always set aside emergency funds, always leave some free cash 
    for bargain buying
5. Only and only invest free cash

Saturday, August 14, 2010

Investing word of the day: Intrinsic value



Intrinsic value


1. The actual value of a security, as opposed to its market price or book value. The intrinsic value includes other variables such as brand name, trademarks, and copyrights that are often difficult to calculate and sometimes not accurately reflected in the market price. One way to look at it is that the market capitalization investors are willing to pay for the company) and intrinsic value is the value (i.e. what the company is really worth). Different investors use different techniques to calculate intrinsic value.

2. The amount by which a call option is in the money, calculated by taking the difference between the strike price and the market price of the underlier. For example, if a call option for 100 shares has a strike price of $35 and the stock is trading at $50 a share than the call option has an intrinsic value of $15 share, or $1500. If the stock price is less than the strike price the call option has no intrinsic value.

3. The amount by which a put option is in the money, calculated by taking the difference between the strike price and the market price of the underlier. For example, if a put option for 100 shares has a strike price of $35 and the stock is trading at $20 a share than the put option has an intrinsic value of $15 per share, or $1500. If the stock price is greater than the strike price the put option has no intrinsic value.
 


In simple terms it is the perceived value by the general investing public. Investors wants to buy such stock because they believe that such stock has a higher capability to generate income in the long run. Market price may change from time to time but stocks with intrinsic value will always perform will in spite of any financial crisis.
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Chitika